Today, 24th
July 2012, President John Evans Atta-Mills passed away while in hospital in
Accra after a long battle with throat cancer. Aides report that he had been
admitted to 37 Military Hospital hours before, after complaining of pains the previous
day. The Presidential Office made a press statement to report the “sudden and
untimely death of the President of the Republic of Ghana”. Mills’ death comes
just four months before what are predicted to be highly competitive
presidential and parliamentary elections scheduled for 7th December.
Atta-Mills’ death follows in the wake of other recent presidents in Africa to
die while in office including Malawi’s president Bingu wa Mutharika earlier
this year, Umaru Musa Yar’Adua in Nigeria in 2010 and Zambia’s President Levy
Mwanawasa in late 2008. It is a
testament to the increasing acceptance of the formal rules of democracy that as
per constitutional provisions, in each of these cases the vice-president has
taken office. Indeed in Ghana, within hours of reports of his death an
emergency meeting was called at Parliament and at 18.00 GMT on the same day Ghana’s
Vice-President John Dramani Mahama was sworn in.
The health of the
president had been a regular news topic in Ghana even before Atta-Mills took
office in 2008. Over the last four years there were frequent reports of his deteriorating
health including increasing loss of vision and shortness of breath. The president
and ruling party, the National Democratic Congress (NDC), knew the president’s
health was becoming a concern to voters and following his last check up in the
U.S.A. Mills, in an out-of-character theatrical display, did a short jog
on the landing strip when he set down at Kotoka International Airport. Increasingly
however, Atta-Mills shied away from public meetings and recently declined his
invitation to speak at the nationwide televised presidential candidate debates
organized by the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA). Earlier this week the NDC began to state that
Mills would not address the crowds during the 2012 campaign rallies across the
country, but would sit and wave on the podium.
Atta-Mills will be
remembered as a fatherly president, nicknamed “Uncle Atta” and famed for
beginning his public addresses with the phrase “My brothers and sisters”. He
spoke slowly and gently and his relatively simple demeanor helped his 2008
platform as a man with an incorruptible nature and good intentions for office.
Mills will be remembered for overseeing the introduction of important
legislation to Ghana perhaps most notably the Petroleum Revenue Management Act,
2011 which spells out in clear terms how Ghana’s new oil revenues should be
managed, including the establishment of a stabilization and heritage fund,
stringent internal auditing, and the creation of a Public Interest and
Accountability Committee whose latest report Revenue Watch International say “sets
a new standard for accountability” in Africa. Domestically, Mills’ attempt
to reorganise the pay structure of the public sector with a move to a
“single-spine” pay scale, as well as establishing a national commission to
review Ghana’s current constitution were also highly popular moves.
For political
analysts the death of Ghana’s president means that the next few weeks and months
will be highly interesting. The main opposition party (the National Patriotic
Party) have expressed their condolences and stopped their campaign tour. Today
the NDC has been quiet on how it will proceed, although discussions are
emerging to schedule a party congress to select the new flag bearer. It is
difficult to see how the newly incumbent president John Mahama, popular both inside
the party (although factions do exist) and with voters, will not win the ticket.
If Mahama wins who he runs with will be the next big question. The Rawling’s
family have displayed clear ambitions to regain a central position in the NDC
with Nana Konadu (wife of ex-president Rawlings) competing against Mills in the
NDC flag bearer elections last year. Although she received only 3 percent of
delegate votes, ex-President Rawlings remains popular on the campaign trail and
many inside the NDC would prefer to retain their alliance with him. For the
Rawlings’, prior to the death of Mills they have been in the process of establishing
their own party with its inauguration date set for 15th August. Now it remains to be seen whether the NDC will
make a final attempt at trying to re-establish an alliance with President
Rawlings and his wife or take them on in the December election. At least for
today however, election fever has respectfully ceased in Ghana as Uncle Atta is
remembered.
Cheers, I was wondering if there is any current polling on the race between President Mahama and Mr. Akufo-Addo? Otherwise can you please tell me what the current perception of the race is expressed as which candidate is favored to win based on probability in a percentage, for example:
ReplyDeleteMahama 50% Akufo-Addo 46% other 5
Thanks!
Todd Kennedy
pragpro@gmail.com
Hi Todd, thanks for your comment. Ghana has no reliable polling organisation so we can't give you any accurate information. George and I are now both in Ghana and our perception and discussions with experts here is that things are likely to be very close. We also need to wait and see whether the NDP (break-away party from the NDC) gets formed, and if so who runs as its flagbearer. If the Rawlings' move to support the NDP this may change things. Thanks for your interest in the blog if you have further questions let us know! Sarah
ReplyDeleteHi Sarah and George, I was just making my final projection and based on my research I have Mahama winning 51% of the time. So I was just wondering if you guys have any opinion or perception of who will win on the 7th...considering that I believe this will be a race decided by less then 1.5%...it's a tough call.
ReplyDeletebest,
Todd
Nailed it. ; )
ReplyDeleteThanks for your fine blog.
Todd Kennedy
IARPA.gov
Thanks for Sharing
ReplyDeleteIndiavotekar is an India's biggest ELECTION MANAGEMENT SYSTEM for latest news, upgrades consequences of the Parliamentary and the Assembly decisions of India and provide a secure online election system.